Network Models for Infectious Disease Dynamics

Mathematical Biology and Ecology Seminar
Wednesday, September 29, 2010 - 11:00
1 hour (actually 50 minutes)
Skiles 169
Center for Infectious Disease Dynamics, Penn State
Many infectious agents spread via close contact between infected and susceptible individuals. The nature and structure of interactions among individuals is thus of fundamental importance to the spread of infectious disease. Heterogeneities among host interactions can be modeled with contact networks, and analyzed using tools of percolation theory. Thus far, the field of contact network epidemiology has largely been focused on the impact of network structure on the progression of disease epidemics.  In this talk, we introduce network models which incorporate feedback of the disease spread on network structure, and explore how this feedback limits the potential for future outbreaks.  This has implications for seasonal diseases such as influenza, and supports the need for more adaptive public health policies in response to disease dynamics.