A STOCHASTIC EXPANSION-BASED APPROACH FOR DESIGN UNDER UNCERTAINTY

Series
CDSNS Colloquium
Time
Monday, November 5, 2012 - 4:00pm for 1 hour (actually 50 minutes)
Location
Skiles 06
Speaker
Miguel Walter – Georgia Tech (Aerospace Eng.)
Organizer
Rafael de la Llave
A common practice in aerospace engineering has been to carry out deterministicanalysis in the design process. However, due to variations in design condition suchas material properties, physical dimensions and operating conditions; uncertainty isubiquitous to any real engineering system. Even though the use of deterministicapproaches greatly simplifies the design process since any uncertain parameter is setto a nominal value, the final design can have degraded performance if the actualparameter values are slightly different from the nominal ones.Uncertainty is important because designers are concerned about performance risk.One of the major challenges in design under uncertainty is computational efficiency,especially for expensive numerical simulations. Design under uncertainty is composedof two major parts. The first one is the propagation of uncertainties, and the otherone is the optimization method. An efficient approach for design under uncertaintyshould consider improvement in both parts.An approach for robust design based on stochastic expansions is investigated. Theresearch consists of two parts : 1) stochastic expansions for uncertainty propagationand 2) adaptive sampling for Pareto front approximation. For the first part, a strategybased on the generalized polynomial chaos (gPC) expansion method is developed. Acommon limitation in previous gPC-based approaches for robust design is the growthof the computational cost with number of uncertain parameters. In this research,the high computational cost is addressed by using sparse grids as a mean to alleviatethe curse of dimensionality. Second, in order to alleviate the computational cost ofapproximating the Pareto front, two strategies based on adaptive sampling for multi-objective problems are presented. The first one is based on the two aforementionedmethods, whereas the second one considers, in addition, two levels of fidelity of theuncertainty propagation method.The proposed approaches were tested successfully in a low Reynolds number airfoilrobust optimization with uncertain operating conditions, and the robust design of atransonic wing. The gPC based method is able to find the actual Pareto front asa Monte Carlo-based strategy, and the bi-level strategy shows further computationalefficiency.